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Home » Predictions » NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik Betting tips for November 30 in Croatia 2.NL
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 12h30 Croatia 2.NL
NK Dugo Selo NK Dugo Selo
PREDICTION NK Dugo Selo wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
NK Uljanik NK Uljanik
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik Betting tips for November 30 in Croatia 2.NL

Our betting tip for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
12:30
NK Dugo Selo NK Dugo Selo
1.89
X
3.50
NK Uljanik NK Uljanik
3.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik:

🔮 NK Dugo Selo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Dugo Selo, you can win up to $945.00!

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Some important points for the tip for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Uljanik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Dugo Selo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, NK Uljanik conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for NK Uljanik as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik for the Croatia 2.NL – 30 of November

🏟️ NK Dugo Selo X NK Uljanik – Croatia 2.NL
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 NK Dugo Selo – Winning probability: 61.47% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.75% | Fair line: 4.39
🔴 NK Uljanik – Winning probability: 15.78% | Fair line: 6.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NK Dugo Selo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik

Should you bet on NK Dugo Selo?

🔵 NK Dugo Selo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $542.90
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is betting on NK Uljanik worth it?

🔴 NK Uljanik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $396.80
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$443.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NK Dugo Selo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 NK Dugo Selo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NK Dugo Selo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 NK Dugo Selo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Dugo Selo x NK Uljanik

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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