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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo Betting tips for November 24 in Croatia HNL
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Croatia HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
PREDICTION NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins Probability 11% 1 X 2
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo Betting tips for November 24 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
17:00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.75
X
3.50
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
4.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, you can win up to $875.00!

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The main points for the tip for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo for the Croatia HNL – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb X Slaven Belupo – Croatia HNL
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – Winning probability: 68.54% | Fair line: 1.46
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.67% | Fair line: 5.08
๐Ÿ”ด Slaven Belupo – Winning probability: 11.79% | Fair line: 8.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

๐Ÿ”ต NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$207.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$300.00.

Is it worth betting on Slaven Belupo?

๐Ÿ”ด Slaven Belupo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$490.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Slaven Belupo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves