NK Osijek x NK Varazdin Betting tips for September 29 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:30

NK Osijek 1.83

X 3.40

NK Varazdin 3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin

Some important points for the tip for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Osijek in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Varazdin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between NK Osijek x NK Varazdin, with NK Osijek as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, NK Osijek conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against NK Varazdin. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, NK Varazdin has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on NK Osijek x NK Varazdin?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on NK Osijek x NK Varazdin:

Analysis from NK Osijek x NK Varazdin for the Croatia HNL – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin

Is betting on NK Osijek worth it?

🔵 NK Osijek: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $448.20;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$11.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $720.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Varazdin?

🔴 NK Varazdin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match NK Osijek x NK Varazdin

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Osijek
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NK Osijek, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NK Osijek.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 NK Varazdin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Osijek x NK Varazdin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.