NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje Betting tips for November 22 in Croatia 1.NL
| 📅 22/11/2024 12:30 |
 NK Sesvete1.80 |
X 3.25 |
NK Dugopolje  4.05 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje:
🔮 NK Sesvete wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Sesvete, you can win up to $900.00!
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Some important points for the tip for NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Sesvete in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0. |
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Analysis from NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje for the Croatia 1.NL – 22 of November
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🏟️ NK Sesvete X NK Dugopolje – Croatia 1.NL |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Sesvete and NK Dugopolje.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225593 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje
Is it worth betting on NK Sesvete?
🔵 NK Sesvete: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $528.00;
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Is betting on NK Dugopolje worth it?
🔴 NK Dugopolje: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $427.00
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$433.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NK Sesvete
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 NK Sesvete and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 NK Sesvete.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 NK Sesvete.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Sesvete x NK Dugopolje
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
