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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka Betting tips for November 25 in Croatia HNL
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Croatia HNL
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
PREDICTION HNK Rijeka Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka Betting tips for November 25 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
3.90
X
3.48
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
1.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka:

๐Ÿ”ฎ HNK Rijeka wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HNK Rijeka, you can win up to $920.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Varazdin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, HNK Rijeka scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 NK Varazdin matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, HNK Rijeka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, HNK Rijeka has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka for the Croatia HNL – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NK Varazdin X HNK Rijeka – Croatia HNL
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต NK Varazdin – Winning probability: 9.24% | Fair line: 10.82
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.51% | Fair line: 4.88
๐Ÿ”ด HNK Rijeka – Winning probability: 70.25% | Fair line: 1.42
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 NK Varazdin
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka

Is it worth betting on NK Varazdin?

๐Ÿ”ต NK Varazdin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $261.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$649.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $520.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$269.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on HNK Rijeka?

๐Ÿ”ด HNK Rijeka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$288.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 NK Varazdin
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 NK Varazdin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 NK Varazdin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 HNK Rijeka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Varazdin x HNK Rijeka

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves