Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Nogueirense U19 5.75

X 4.50

Braga U19 1.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19:

🔮 Braga U19 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga U19, you can win up to $700.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nogueirense U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Nogueirense U19 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Nogueirense U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nogueirense U19 conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Nogueirense U19 as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19

Is betting on Nogueirense U19 worth it?

🔵 Nogueirense U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $142.50
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$827.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $420.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it worth betting on Braga U19?

🔴 Braga U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
• And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Nogueirense U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 Nogueirense U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Nogueirense U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Braga U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nogueirense U19 x Braga U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.