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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City Betting tips for November 25 in Thailand Division 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Thailand Division 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya Nong Bua Pitchaya
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 16% 1 X 2
Samut Prakan City Samut Prakan City
ODD: @3.68 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City Betting tips for November 25 in Thailand Division 2

Our betting tip for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
11:00
Nong Bua Pitchaya Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.66
X
3.68
Samut Prakan City Samut Prakan City
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1840.00!

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The main points for the tip for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Samut Prakan City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Nong Bua Pitchaya scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Samut Prakan City has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City

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Summary

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Analysis from Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City for the Thailand Division 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nong Bua Pitchaya X Samut Prakan City – Thailand Division 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nong Bua Pitchaya – Winning probability: 52.13% | Fair line: 1.92
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.15% | Fair line: 3.21
๐Ÿ”ด Samut Prakan City – Winning probability: 16.72% | Fair line: 5.98
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Samut Prakan City.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City

Is betting on Nong Bua Pitchaya worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Nong Bua Pitchaya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $343.20
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $830.80
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.80.

Should you bet on Samut Prakan City?

๐Ÿ”ด Samut Prakan City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$286.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Nong Bua Pitchaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Nong Bua Pitchaya.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nong Bua Pitchaya x Samut Prakan City

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves