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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Nova Iguacu x Bangu Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Nova Iguacu Nova Iguacu
PREDICTION Nova Iguacu wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Bangu Bangu
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Nova Iguacu x Bangu Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Nova Iguacu x Bangu, Thursday, 30/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 30/1/2025
19:00
Nova Iguacu Nova Iguacu
1.54
X
3.60
Bangu Bangu
5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nova Iguacu x Bangu:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nova Iguacu wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nova Iguacu, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Nova Iguacu x Bangu:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nova Iguacu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bangu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nova Iguacu did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Nova Iguacu matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Bangu matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nova Iguacu has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bangu playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Nova Iguacu x Bangu?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nova Iguacu x Bangu, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nova Iguacu x Bangu for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca โ€“ 30 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nova Iguacu X Bangu โ€“ Brazil Campeonato Carioca
๐Ÿ“… 30 of January, 2025 โ€“ 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nova Iguacu โ€“ Winning probability: 72.73% | Fair line: 1.37
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 18.85% | Fair line: 5.3
๐Ÿ”ด Bangu โ€“ Winning probability: 8.41% | Fair line: 11.88
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 Nova Iguacu
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nova Iguacu x Bangu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1253955 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Nova Iguacu x Bangu

Is it a good idea to bet on Nova Iguacu?

๐Ÿ”ต Nova Iguacu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times โ€“ having a profit of $394.20;
  • And would lose other 270 times โ€“ having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$124.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times โ€“ having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times โ€“ with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

Is it worth betting on Bangu?

๐Ÿ”ด Bangu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times โ€“ having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times โ€“ losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$560.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nova Iguacu x Bangu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 Nova Iguacu
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Nova Iguacu x Bangu

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Nova Iguacu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Nova Iguacu.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -1.0 Nova Iguacu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nova Iguacu x Bangu

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: โ€“ 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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