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Home » Predictions » Others » Novara x Lumezzane Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group A
Novara Novara
PREDICTION No tip
Lumezzane Lumezzane
Don't miss this prediction!

Novara x Lumezzane Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Novara x Lumezzane, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:00
Novara Novara
2.21
X
3.00
Lumezzane Lumezzane
3.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Novara x Lumezzane:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Novara x Lumezzane

Some important points for the tip for Novara x Lumezzane:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Novara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lumezzane in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $213.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lumezzane conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Novara x Lumezzane for the Italy Serie C Group A – 1 of December

🏟️ Novara X Lumezzane – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Novara – Winning probability: 46.24% | Fair line: 2.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.16% | Fair line: 3.21
🔴 Lumezzane – Winning probability: 22.60% | Fair line: 4.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Novara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Novara x Lumezzane is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Novara x Lumezzane

Is it a good idea to bet on Novara?

🔵 Novara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $556.60;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lumezzane?

🔴 Lumezzane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $471.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Novara x Lumezzane

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Novara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Novara x Lumezzane

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Novara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Novara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lumezzane.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Novara x Lumezzane

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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