Nublense x Union La Calera Betting tips for September 29 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Nublense x Union La Calera, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:30

Nublense 1.57

X 3.78

Union La Calera 5.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nublense x Union La Calera:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nublense x Union La Calera

Some important points for the tip for Nublense x Union La Calera: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nublense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union La Calera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 Nublense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Union La Calera matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Nublense x Union La Calera, with Nublense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Union La Calera conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Nublense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Union La Calera playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Nublense x Union La Calera?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nublense x Union La Calera for the Chile Primera Division – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nublense x Union La Calera right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nublense x Union La Calera

Is betting on Nublense worth it?

🔵 Nublense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $336.30;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$73.70.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $667.20;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$92.80.

Is betting on Union La Calera worth it?

🔴 Union La Calera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $697.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$133.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nublense x Union La Calera

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nublense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nublense x Union La Calera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nublense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Nublense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Union La Calera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nublense x Union La Calera

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.