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Home » Predictions » Others » Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 20h00 Argentina Nacional B
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
PREDICTION Nueva Chicago wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
ODD: @2.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
20:00
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
2.35
X
2.80
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
3.11

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan:

🔮 Nueva Chicago wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nueva Chicago, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Important information for your tip for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nueva Chicago in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin de San Juan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $430.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nueva Chicago scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Nueva Chicago matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan, with Nueva Chicago as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Nueva Chicago has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against San Martin de San Juan playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan for the Argentina Nacional B – 24 of November

🏟️ Nueva Chicago X San Martin de San Juan – Argentina Nacional B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Nueva Chicago – Winning probability: 44.93% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.93% | Fair line: 2.71
🔴 San Martin de San Juan – Winning probability: 18.14% | Fair line: 5.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nueva Chicago
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan

Should you bet on Nueva Chicago?

🔵 Nueva Chicago: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$57.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on San Martin de San Juan?

🔴 San Martin de San Juan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $379.80;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nueva Chicago
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Nueva Chicago and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nueva Chicago.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 San Martin de San Juan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nueva Chicago x San Martin de San Juan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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