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Home » Predictions » Others » Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Bundesliga II
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h30 Germany Bundesliga II
Nurnberg Nurnberg
PREDICTION Fortuna Dusseldorf Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Fortuna Dusseldorf Fortuna Dusseldorf
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
12:30
Nurnberg Nurnberg
2.60
X
3.50
Fortuna Dusseldorf Fortuna Dusseldorf
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf:

🔮 Fortuna Dusseldorf wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortuna Dusseldorf, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nurnberg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Dusseldorf in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $495.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf for the Germany Bundesliga II – 1 of December

🏟️ Nurnberg X Fortuna Dusseldorf – Germany Bundesliga II
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 Nurnberg – Winning probability: 31.03% | Fair line: 3.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.39% | Fair line: 4.47
🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Winning probability: 46.58% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nurnberg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

Should you bet on Nurnberg?

🔵 Nurnberg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is betting on Fortuna Dusseldorf worth it?

🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $705.00
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$175.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nurnberg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Nurnberg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Nurnberg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nurnberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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