Nurnberg II x Buchbach Betting tips for March 29 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern

Our betting tip for Nurnberg II x Buchbach, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 13:00

Nurnberg II 2.24

X 3.60

Buchbach 2.66

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nurnberg II x Buchbach:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Nurnberg II x Buchbach

Some important points for the tip for Nurnberg II x Buchbach: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nurnberg II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Buchbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nurnberg II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Buchbach scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Buchbach, Nurnberg II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Buchbach matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Buchbach conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Buchbach has not lost any of them. 👉 Nurnberg II has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Buchbach.

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Analysis from Nurnberg II x Buchbach for the Germany Regionalliga Bayern – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nurnberg II x Buchbach right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nurnberg II x Buchbach

Should you bet on Nurnberg II?

🔵 Nurnberg II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $545.60;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Should you bet on Buchbach?

🔴 Buchbach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $498.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nurnberg II x Buchbach

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nurnberg II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nurnberg II x Buchbach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Nurnberg II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nurnberg II.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nurnberg II x Buchbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.