O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

O Elvas 1.32

X 4.50

Pero Pinheiro 7.87

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro:

🔮 O Elvas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on O Elvas, you can win up to $660.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on O Elvas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $619.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pero Pinheiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-310.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, O Elvas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Pero Pinheiro matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pero Pinheiro conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 O Elvas is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Pero Pinheiro as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro

Should you bet on O Elvas?

🔵 O Elvas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $278.40;
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$148.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is betting on Pero Pinheiro worth it?

🔴 Pero Pinheiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $68.70;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$921.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 O Elvas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 O Elvas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 O Elvas.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for O Elvas x Pero Pinheiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.