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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Oaxaca x Tapatio Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 01h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Oaxaca Oaxaca
PREDICTION Tapatio Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Tapatio Tapatio
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Oaxaca x Tapatio Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Oaxaca x Tapatio, Saturday, 1/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 1/2/2025
01:00
Oaxaca Oaxaca
3.20
X
3.50
Tapatio Tapatio
2.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Oaxaca x Tapatio:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tapatio wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tapatio, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Oaxaca x Tapatio:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $235.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tapatio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Oaxaca as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Oaxaca x Tapatio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oaxaca x Tapatio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Oaxaca x Tapatio for the Mexico Liga de Expansion โ€“ 1 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Oaxaca X Tapatio โ€“ Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 1 of February, 2025 โ€“ 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Oaxaca โ€“ Winning probability: 16.14% | Fair line: 6.2
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 25.21% | Fair line: 3.97
๐Ÿ”ด Tapatio โ€“ Winning probability: 58.65% | Fair line: 1.71
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 Oaxaca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oaxaca and Tapatio.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1254601 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oaxaca x Tapatio

Is betting on Oaxaca worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Oaxaca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times โ€“ having a profit of $352.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times โ€“ losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$488.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times โ€“ profiting $625.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times โ€“ losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$125.00.

Is it worth betting on Tapatio?

๐Ÿ”ด Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times โ€“ profiting $590.00;
  • And would lose other 410 times โ€“ having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$180.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Oaxaca x Tapatio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 Oaxaca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Oaxaca x Tapatio

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Oaxaca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Oaxaca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.25 Tapatio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oaxaca x Tapatio

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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