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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
Offenburger FV Offenburger FV
PREDICTION SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
ODD: @1.19 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg

Our betting tip for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:30
Offenburger FV Offenburger FV
9.00
X
6.20
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1.19

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach:

๐Ÿ”ฎ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, you can win up to $595.00!

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Important information for your tip for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Offenburger FV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-159.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Offenburger FV scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Offenburger FV conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

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Summary

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Analysis from Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach for the Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Offenburger FV X SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Offenburger FV – Winning probability: 0.61% | Fair line: 164.93
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.27% | Fair line: 43.96
๐Ÿ”ด SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Winning probability: 97.12% | Fair line: 1.03
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Offenburger FV
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Is it a good idea to bet on Offenburger FV?

๐Ÿ”ต Offenburger FV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $80.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$910.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $104.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$876.00.

Should you bet on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

๐Ÿ”ด SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $184.30;
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$154.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Offenburger FV
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Offenburger FV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.0 Offenburger FV.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.0 Offenburger FV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Offenburger FV x SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves