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Home » Predictions » Others » OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola Betting tips for December 21 in Serbia Super Liga
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 12h00 Serbia Super Liga
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
PREDICTION FK Backa Topola Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
ODD: @2.85
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OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola Betting tips for December 21 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
12:00
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
2.20
X
3.30
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola:

🔮 FK Backa Topola wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Backa Topola, you can win up to $1425.00!

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Some important points for the tip for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola:

👉 If you had bet $100 on OFK Beograd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Backa Topola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Backa Topola scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, FK Backa Topola conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, FK Backa Topola has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola for the Serbia Super Liga – 21 of December

🏟️ OFK Beograd X FK Backa Topola – Serbia Super Liga
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 OFK Beograd – Winning probability: 24.20% | Fair line: 4.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.05% | Fair line: 5.54
🔴 FK Backa Topola – Winning probability: 57.75% | Fair line: 1.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 OFK Beograd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola

Is it a good idea to bet on OFK Beograd?

🔵 OFK Beograd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Backa Topola?

🔴 FK Backa Topola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $1073.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$653.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 OFK Beograd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 OFK Beograd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 OFK Beograd.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 FK Backa Topola.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OFK Beograd x FK Backa Topola

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves