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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Oldham x Boston Utd Betting tips for November 26 in England National League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England National League
Oldham Oldham
PREDICTION No tip
Boston Utd Boston Utd
Don't miss this prediction!

Oldham x Boston Utd Betting tips for November 26 in England National League

Our betting tip for Oldham x Boston Utd, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
πŸ“… 26/11/2024
19:45
Oldham Oldham
1.48
X
4.00
Boston Utd Boston Utd
5.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oldham x Boston Utd:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Oldham x Boston Utd

Important information for your tip for Oldham x Boston Utd:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oldham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $36.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boston Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Oldham scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Boston Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Oldham x Boston Utd?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oldham x Boston Utd, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Oldham x Boston Utd for the England National League – 26 of November

🏟️ Oldham X Boston Utd – England National League
πŸ“… 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Oldham – Winning probability: 71.92% | Fair line: 1.39
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.90% | Fair line: 5.02
πŸ”΄ Boston Utd – Winning probability: 8.18% | Fair line: 12.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Oldham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Oldham x Boston Utd is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oldham x Boston Utd

Is betting on Oldham worth it?

πŸ”΅ Oldham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $345.60;
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$65.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Boston Utd?

πŸ”΄ Boston Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $374.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$545.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Oldham x Boston Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Oldham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oldham x Boston Utd

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Oldham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Oldham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Oldham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oldham x Boston Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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