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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Oldham x Ebbsfleet United Betting tips for November 25 in England National League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League
Oldham Oldham
PREDICTION No tip
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
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Oldham x Ebbsfleet United Betting tips for November 25 in England National League

Our betting tip for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Oldham Oldham
1.66
X
3.80
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
4.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

The main points for the tip for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oldham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ebbsfleet United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Oldham scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Oldham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ebbsfleet United conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

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Summary

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Analysis from Oldham x Ebbsfleet United for the England National League – 25 of November

🏟️ Oldham X Ebbsfleet United – England National League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Oldham – Winning probability: 63.57% | Fair line: 1.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.51% | Fair line: 5.4
πŸ”΄ Ebbsfleet United – Winning probability: 17.91% | Fair line: 5.58
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Oldham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oldham and Ebbsfleet United.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

Is it worth betting on Oldham?

πŸ”΅ Oldham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $422.40;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$62.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $532.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$278.00.

Is betting on Ebbsfleet United worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ebbsfleet United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $579.60;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$240.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Oldham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Oldham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Oldham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ebbsfleet United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oldham x Ebbsfleet United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves