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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
PREDICTION No tip
MO Constantine MO Constantine
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Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
1.63
X
3.40
MO Constantine MO Constantine
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

The main points for the tip for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Olympique Akbou in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $625.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MO Constantine in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Olympique Akbou scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 MO Constantine matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

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Summary

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Analysis from Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November

🏟️ Olympique Akbou X MO Constantine – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Olympique Akbou – Winning probability: 62.70% | Fair line: 1.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.75% | Fair line: 3.74
πŸ”΄ MO Constantine – Winning probability: 10.55% | Fair line: 9.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Olympique Akbou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Olympique Akbou and MO Constantine.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

Is it worth betting on Olympique Akbou?

πŸ”΅ Olympique Akbou: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $396.90
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$26.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$82.00.

Should you bet on MO Constantine?

πŸ”΄ MO Constantine: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$450.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Olympique Akbou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Olympique Akbou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Olympique Akbou. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olympique Akbou x MO Constantine

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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