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Home » Predictions » Others » Once Caldas x America de Cali Betting tips for December 4 in Colombia Primera A
Wednesday, 04 December 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Once Caldas Once Caldas
PREDICTION America de Cali Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
America de Cali America de Cali
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Once Caldas x America de Cali Betting tips for December 4 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x America de Cali, Wednesday, 4/12/2024
📅 4/12/2024
23:30
Once Caldas Once Caldas
2.37
X
2.87
America de Cali America de Cali
3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Once Caldas x America de Cali:

🔮 America de Cali wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on America de Cali, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Once Caldas x America de Cali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Once Caldas x America de Cali, with Once Caldas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, America de Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Once Caldas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against America de Cali playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for America de Cali as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Once Caldas x America de Cali for the Colombia Primera A – 4 of December

🏟️ Once Caldas X America de Cali – Colombia Primera A
📅 4 of December, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Once Caldas – Winning probability: 29.20% | Fair line: 3.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.35% | Fair line: 3.8
🔴 America de Cali – Winning probability: 44.45% | Fair line: 2.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Once Caldas x America de Cali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232417 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Once Caldas x America de Cali

Is it worth betting on Once Caldas?

🔵 Once Caldas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $397.30;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $486.20;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$253.80.

Is betting on America de Cali worth it?

🔴 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $990.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$430.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x America de Cali

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x America de Cali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Once Caldas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Once Caldas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 America de Cali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x America de Cali

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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