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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for February 1 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 20h00 Colombia Primera A
Once Caldas Once Caldas
PREDICTION No tip
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
Don't miss this prediction!

Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for February 1 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF, Saturday, 1/2/2025
πŸ“… 1/2/2025
20:00
Once Caldas Once Caldas
2.01
X
2.95
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

The main points for the tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Once Caldas scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 1 of February

🏟️ Once Caldas X Fortaleza CEIF – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 1 of February, 2025 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Once Caldas – Winning probability: 45.01% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.75% | Fair line: 3.05
πŸ”΄ Fortaleza CEIF – Winning probability: 22.25% | Fair line: 4.5
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254613 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Should you bet on Once Caldas?

πŸ”΅ Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $454.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$95.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $643.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$26.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Fortaleza CEIF?

πŸ”΄ Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Once Caldas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.5 Fortaleza CEIF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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