Once Caldas x La Equidad Betting tips for May 6 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x La Equidad, Monday, 6/5/2024

📅 6/5/2024 00:30

Once Caldas 2.28

X 2.96

La Equidad 3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x La Equidad:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1480.00!

🔮 La Equidad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on La Equidad, you can win up to $1600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Once Caldas x La Equidad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $390.0. 👉 Once Caldas did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Once Caldas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Once Caldas x La Equidad, with Once Caldas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 La Equidad caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the away team. 👉 Once Caldas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against La Equidad playing at home.

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Analysis from Once Caldas x La Equidad for the Colombia Primera A – 6 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Once Caldas x La Equidad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112029 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?

🔵 Once Caldas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $345.60;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$384.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $764.40;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$154.40.

Is it worth betting on La Equidad?

🔴 La Equidad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $748.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x La Equidad

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Once Caldas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Once Caldas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 La Equidad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.