Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants Betting tips for December 24 in South Africa Premier
| 📅 24/12/2024 13:00 |
 Orlando Pirates1.30 |
X 4.50 |
Marumo Gallants  9.88 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants:
🔮 Orlando Pirates wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Orlando Pirates, you can win up to $650.00!
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Important information for your tip for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Orlando Pirates in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants?
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Analysis from Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants for the South Africa Premier – 24 of December
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🏟️ Orlando Pirates X Marumo Gallants – South Africa Premier |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants
Is it worth betting on Orlando Pirates?
🔵 Orlando Pirates: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $279.00;
- And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Should you bet on Marumo Gallants?
🔴 Marumo Gallants: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $88.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$901.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Orlando Pirates
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Orlando Pirates, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Orlando Pirates.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Marumo Gallants.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orlando Pirates x Marumo Gallants
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
