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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Orleta Radzyn Podlaski Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
PREDICTION Avia Swidnik Wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Avia Swidnik Avia Swidnik
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
Orleta Radzyn Podlaski Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
5.94
X
4.60
Avia Swidnik Avia Swidnik
1.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Avia Swidnik wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avia Swidnik, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Orleta Radzyn Podlaski in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avia Swidnik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Avia Swidnik scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Avia Swidnik, Orleta Radzyn Podlaski scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Orleta Radzyn Podlaski conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Avia Swidnik has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Orleta Radzyn Podlaski has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Avia Swidnik playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik

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Summary

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Analysis from Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Orleta Radzyn Podlaski X Avia Swidnik – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Orleta Radzyn Podlaski – Winning probability: 2.48% | Fair line: 40.39
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.50% | Fair line: 9.52
๐Ÿ”ด Avia Swidnik – Winning probability: 87.02% | Fair line: 1.15
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik

Is it a good idea to bet on Orleta Radzyn Podlaski?

๐Ÿ”ต Orleta Radzyn Podlaski: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $98.80;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$881.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$494.00.

Is it worth betting on Avia Swidnik?

๐Ÿ”ด Avia Swidnik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $348.00;
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$218.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orleta Radzyn Podlaski x Avia Swidnik

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves