Osasuna x CD Alaves Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Osasuna x CD Alaves, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 17:30

Osasuna 2.20

X 3.00

CD Alaves 3.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Osasuna x CD Alaves:

🔮 Osasuna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Osasuna, you can win up to $1100.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Osasuna x CD Alaves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Osasuna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-276.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Osasuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Alaves, Osasuna scored at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Osasuna vs CD Alaves:

Lets analyze the match between Osasuna and Deportivo Alavés at Estadio El Sadar, Osasunas home ground, which has a capacity of about 23,500 spectators and provides a favorable environment for the home team.

📈 Table analysis: Deportivo Alavés is in 11th place with 18 points in 15 games, showing a solid campaign especially at home. Osasuna has recently had a tough streak, including a loss to Barcelona, but maintains a positive record against Alavés away. Both teams clearly need points: Alavés aims to stay in the upper half of the table, while Osasuna seeks recovery after negative results.

📰 Recent news: Osasuna faces key absences like Iker Benito injured and relies on a strengthened defensive line led by coach Lisci. Despite the recent loss to a strong opponent (Barcelona), they remain confident due to their positive historical record against Alavés. Deportivo Alavés is motivated by their win over Real Sociedad and features Lucas Boyé as their offensive highlight; however, they recently suffered a narrow defeat against Real Madrid.

Statistical analysis:

• Osasuna scores an average of 1.6 goals in recent home games (8 goals/5 matches) and concedes about 1.6 goals per game in this period;
• Alavés away average is higher offensively (2.2 goals in the last five away matches), but they concede fewer goals (1 per game);
• Ball possession is balanced with a slight advantage for the visitors (54% vs 49% for the home team);
• Similar shot averages indicate attack balance;
• Osasunas defense seems vulnerable lately, while the visiting attack has been efficient;

Normalized fair odds calculation based on median odds:

• Implicit probabilities: Osasuna win ~45%, Draw ~33%, Alavés win ~28%
• Adjusting for house margins, approximately: Osasuna win 42%, Draw 31%, Alavés win 27%

Fair odds calculation considering context:

• Since attacks are relatively productive but defenses are equally leaky, a draw might be underestimated in odds;
• The slight historical advantage of Osasuna against this opponent away suggests their true chance might be close to or slightly above ~42%;
• The visiting offensive strength suggests their fair odds for victory should be less than the current (~3.55), maybe around ~3.4;

EV analysis based on final odds provided:

• Positive expected value found both in Osasunas win and draw (~6%), indicating interesting bets on these options.

Final suggestion 🏆: Bet on Osasuna to win, as they play at their traditional stadium with fan support and have a favorable history against the rival; or also consider betting on a draw as a safe alternative given the expected competitiveness.
Avoid betting on Alavés to win, as despite their good offensive form, they play away in a tough stadium and the odds do not offer positive expected value.

I fully agree with the Clube da Aposta models suggestion to indicate positive value bets for home wins or draws! 🎯💰 Lets go!

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Osasuna x CD Alaves?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Osasuna x CD Alaves, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Osasuna x CD Alaves for the Spain La Liga – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Osasuna and CD Alaves.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on the match between Osasuna and CD Alaves

Osasuna: Osasuna entered the match against Barcelona on December 13, 2025, with a mostly healthy squad, with the only long-term absence being defender Iker Benito, who is recovering from a knee injury. The team kept the same starting lineup that had beaten Levante the previous week, with the only change being the substitution of Rubén García for Herrando, while coach Lisci experimented with a five-man defensive line. In the end, the team lost 2-0 to Barcelona, with Raphinha scoring both goals. Despite the recent defeat, Osasuna still holds the club record of six consecutive away wins against Alavés, a streak established between 2006 and 2023.

Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés is currently in 11th place in La Liga with 18 points after 15 matches, having achieved a morale-boosting victory against Real Sociedad in December and showing solid home performance, with only two losses in eight games under coach Michele Coudet. However, the recent match against Real Madrid at Mendizorroza ended in a 2-1 defeat, after Rodrygos goal in the second half secured the visitors win, despite Carlos Vicentes goal that temporarily equalized. Striker Lucas Boyé remains a key presence, and the club continues active in the Copa del Rey, aiming to advance further in the competition.

Table analysis for the game between Osasuna and CD Alaves

Osasuna: Osasuna is in 16th place with 15 points, occupying a danger zone close to relegation. At this stage of the league, earning points is crucial to avoid dropping to a lower division. Therefore, the match against CD Alaves is very important to move away from the relegation zone and seek a strong finish in La Liga. Every point will be highly contested! ⚽🔥

CD Alaves: CD Alaves is slightly better positioned, in 12th place with 18 points, but still far from a comfortable safety zone and away from European competition spots. The match against Osasuna is important to keep distance from the risk zone and secure their place in Spanish footballs top tier. A win could ease the pressure on the team. 💪⚽

Summary: The game between Osasuna and CD Alaves is very important for both teams, which fight to escape relegation and ensure their place in La Liga next season. It’s a decisive duel for safety and survival ambitions! 🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Osasuna x CD Alaves

Is it worth betting on Osasuna?

🔵 Osasuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Alaves?

🔴 CD Alaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$432.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Osasuna x CD Alaves

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Osasuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Osasuna x CD Alaves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Osasuna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Osasuna. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Osasuna x CD Alaves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.