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Home » Predictions » Others » Otelul Galati x FCSB Betting tips for December 2 in Romania Liga I
Monday, 02 December 2024, 18h30 Romania Liga I
Otelul Galati Otelul Galati
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
FCSB FCSB
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Otelul Galati x FCSB Betting tips for December 2 in Romania Liga I

Our betting tip for Otelul Galati x FCSB, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
18:30
Otelul Galati Otelul Galati
3.63
X
3.05
FCSB FCSB
2.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Otelul Galati x FCSB:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Otelul Galati x FCSB:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Otelul Galati in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FCSB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 Otelul Galati did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 Otelul Galati matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Otelul Galati x FCSB, with Otelul Galati as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FCSB conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Otelul Galati x FCSB for the Romania Liga I – 2 of December

🏟️ Otelul Galati X FCSB – Romania Liga I
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Otelul Galati – Winning probability: 18.37% | Fair line: 5.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.04% | Fair line: 2.63
🔴 FCSB – Winning probability: 43.59% | Fair line: 2.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Otelul Galati
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Otelul Galati x FCSB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230608 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Otelul Galati x FCSB

Should you bet on Otelul Galati?

🔵 Otelul Galati: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $473.40;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$346.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $779.00
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$159.00.

Is it worth betting on FCSB?

🔴 FCSB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $457.60
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$102.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Otelul Galati x FCSB

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Otelul Galati
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Otelul Galati x FCSB

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Otelul Galati, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Otelul Galati.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Otelul Galati.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Otelul Galati x FCSB

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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