Ourense x Barakaldo Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
| 📅 29/9/2024 14:30 |
 Ourense2.50 |
X 2.80 |
Barakaldo  2.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ourense x Barakaldo:
🔮 Barakaldo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barakaldo, you can win up to $1400.00!
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Important information for your tip for Ourense x Barakaldo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barakaldo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $205.0. |
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Analysis from Ourense x Barakaldo for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September
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🏟️ Ourense X Barakaldo – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ourense and Barakaldo.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ourense x Barakaldo
Should you bet on Ourense?
🔵 Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $405.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $432.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Barakaldo?
🔴 Barakaldo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $882.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$372.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Barakaldo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ourense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Barakaldo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ourense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ourense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Barakaldo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Barakaldo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
