Ourense x Ponferradina Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
| 📅 30/11/2024 18:30 |
 Ourense2.78 |
X 2.85 |
Ponferradina  2.48 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ourense x Ponferradina:
🔮 Ponferradina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ponferradina, you can win up to $1240.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Ourense x Ponferradina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ourense x Ponferradina?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ourense x Ponferradina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Ourense x Ponferradina for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 30 of November
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🏟️ Ourense X Ponferradina – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ourense x Ponferradina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ourense x Ponferradina
Should you bet on Ourense?
🔵 Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $409.40
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $555.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Ponferradina?
🔴 Ponferradina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $695.60;
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Ponferradina
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ourense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Ponferradina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Ourense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ourense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ponferradina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Ponferradina
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
