Ourense x Valencia Betting tips for January 14 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 14/1/2025 20:00 |
 Ourense5.72 |
X 3.88 |
Valencia  1.58 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ourense x Valencia:
🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $790.00!
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Important information for your tip for Ourense x Valencia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $895.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ourense x Valencia?
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Analysis from Ourense x Valencia for the Spain Copa del Rey – 14 of January
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🏟️ Ourense X Valencia – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on Ourense x Valencia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245132 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ourense x Valencia
Is it a good idea to bet on Ourense?
🔵 Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $472.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$418.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Valencia?
🔴 Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $435.00;
- And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$185.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Valencia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Ourense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Valencia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Ourense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ourense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Valencia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Valencia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
