Padova x Sampdoria Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 20/12/2025 14:00 |
 Padova2.80 |
X 2.95 |
Sampdoria  2.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Padova x Sampdoria:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!
Some important points for the tip for Padova x Sampdoria:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Padova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Padova conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sampdoria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Sampdoria as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Padova x Sampdoria for the Italy Serie B – 20 of December
🏟️ Padova X Sampdoria – Italy Serie B
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Padova – Winning probability: 27.52% | Fair line: 3.63
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.22% | Fair line: 2.76
🔴 Sampdoria – Winning probability: 36.26% | Fair line: 2.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Padova and Sampdoria.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Padova x Sampdoria
Is it worth betting on Padova?
🔵 Padova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.00.
Is it worth betting on Sampdoria?
🔴 Sampdoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Padova x Sampdoria
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Padova x Sampdoria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Padova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Padova.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sampdoria.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Padova x Sampdoria
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
