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Home » Predictions » Others » Palestino x Portuguesa Betting tips for February 27 in Copa Libertadores Qualification
Tuesday, 27 February 2024, 22h00 Copa Libertadores Qualification
Palestino Palestino
PREDICTION Palestino wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Portuguesa Portuguesa
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Palestino x Portuguesa Betting tips for February 27 in Copa Libertadores Qualification

Our betting tip for Palestino x Portuguesa, Tuesday, 27/2/2024
📅 27/2/2024
22:00
Palestino Palestino
1.46
X
4.00
Portuguesa Portuguesa
6.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Palestino x Portuguesa:

🔮 Palestino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palestino, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Palestino x Portuguesa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Palestino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $301.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Portuguesa scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Palestino x Portuguesa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palestino x Portuguesa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Palestino x Portuguesa for the Copa Libertadores Qualification – 27 of February

🏟️ Palestino X Portuguesa – Copa Libertadores Qualification
📅 27 of February, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Palestino – Winning probability: 72.61% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.72% | Fair line: 6.36
🔴 Portuguesa – Winning probability: 11.67% | Fair line: 8.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Palestino and Portuguesa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1066706 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Palestino x Portuguesa

Is it a good idea to bet on Palestino?

🔵 Palestino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $335.80
  • And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$65.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Is it worth betting on Portuguesa?

🔴 Portuguesa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Palestino x Portuguesa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palestino x Portuguesa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Palestino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Palestino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Portuguesa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palestino x Portuguesa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves