Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos Betting tips for January 16 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 16/1/2025 00:35 |
 Palmeiras1.46 |
X 3.80 |
Portuguesa Desportos  6.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos:
🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $730.00!
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The main points for the tip for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 16 of January
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🏟️ Palmeiras X Portuguesa Desportos – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245823 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
Is betting on Palmeiras worth it?
🔵 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $418.60
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$328.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $168.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$772.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Portuguesa Desportos?
🔴 Portuguesa Desportos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $165.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$805.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Palmeiras, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Palmeiras.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Palmeiras.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
