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Home » Predictions » Others » Panionios x Panserraikos Betting tips for December 5 in Greece Cup
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 15h00 Greece Cup
Panionios Panionios
PREDICTION Panionios wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Panserraikos Panserraikos
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Panionios x Panserraikos Betting tips for December 5 in Greece Cup

Our betting tip for Panionios x Panserraikos, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
15:00
Panionios Panionios
2.50
X
3.18
Panserraikos Panserraikos
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Panionios x Panserraikos:

🔮 Panionios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Panionios, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Panionios x Panserraikos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Panionios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $136.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panserraikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $752.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Panionios scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Panserraikos scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Panionios x Panserraikos for the Greece Cup – 5 of December

🏟️ Panionios X Panserraikos – Greece Cup
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Panionios – Winning probability: 40.02% | Fair line: 2.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.23% | Fair line: 4.71
🔴 Panserraikos – Winning probability: 38.75% | Fair line: 2.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Panionios
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Panionios x Panserraikos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232417 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Panionios x Panserraikos

Should you bet on Panionios?

🔵 Panionios: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$0.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $457.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$332.20.

Is it worth betting on Panserraikos?

🔴 Panserraikos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Panionios x Panserraikos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Panionios
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Panionios x Panserraikos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Panionios and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Panionios.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Panionios.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Panionios x Panserraikos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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