PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1
| 📅 29/9/2024 14:30 |
 PAOK Salonika1.52 |
X 3.90 |
Aris Salonika  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika:
🔮 PAOK Salonika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PAOK Salonika, you can win up to $760.00!
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Important information for your tip for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PAOK Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. |
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Analysis from PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika for the Greece Super League 1 – 29 of September
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🏟️ PAOK Salonika X Aris Salonika – Greece Super League 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika
Is it worth betting on PAOK Salonika?
🔵 PAOK Salonika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $395.20;
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $493.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.00.
Is betting on Aris Salonika worth it?
🔴 Aris Salonika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 PAOK Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 PAOK Salonika.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PAOK Salonika x Aris Salonika
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
