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Home » Predictions » Others » PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea Betting tips for December 1 in Greece Super League 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 17h00 Greece Super League 1
PAOK Salonika PAOK Salonika
PREDICTION PAOK Salonika wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea Betting tips for December 1 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
17:00
PAOK Salonika PAOK Salonika
1.20
X
6.00
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
11.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea:

🔮 PAOK Salonika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PAOK Salonika, you can win up to $600.00!

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The main points for the tip for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PAOK Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athens Kallithea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, PAOK Salonika scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 PAOK Salonika matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, PAOK Salonika conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Athens Kallithea conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea for the Greece Super League 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ PAOK Salonika X Athens Kallithea – Greece Super League 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 PAOK Salonika – Winning probability: 91.80% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.57% | Fair line: 17.95
🔴 Athens Kallithea – Winning probability: 2.63% | Fair line: 38.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea

Should you bet on PAOK Salonika?

🔵 PAOK Salonika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $184.00
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on Athens Kallithea?

🔴 Athens Kallithea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 PAOK Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 PAOK Salonika.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Athens Kallithea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PAOK Salonika x Athens Kallithea

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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