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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Paris FC x Bordeaux Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
Paris FC Paris FC
PREDICTION Bordeaux Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Bordeaux Bordeaux
ODD: @2.37 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Paris FC x Bordeaux Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Paris FC x Bordeaux, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
18:00
Paris FC Paris FC
2.75
X
3.30
Bordeaux Bordeaux
2.37

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paris FC x Bordeaux:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bordeaux wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bordeaux, you can win up to $1185.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Paris FC x Bordeaux:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Paris FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bordeaux in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bordeaux conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Paris FC x Bordeaux

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Summary

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Analysis from Paris FC x Bordeaux for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Paris FC X Bordeaux – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Paris FC – Winning probability: 22.15% | Fair line: 4.51
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.97% | Fair line: 4.77
๐Ÿ”ด Bordeaux – Winning probability: 56.88% | Fair line: 1.76
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Paris FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Paris FC x Bordeaux is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paris FC x Bordeaux

Is betting on Paris FC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Paris FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$395.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$307.00.

Should you bet on Bordeaux?

๐Ÿ”ด Bordeaux: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $780.90
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$350.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Paris FC x Bordeaux

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Paris FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paris FC x Bordeaux

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Paris FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Paris FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paris FC x Bordeaux

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves