Parma x Modena Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B
📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Parma x Modena
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Analysis from Parma x Modena for the Italy Serie B – 25 of November
🏟️ Parma X Modena – Italy Serie B
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Parma x Modena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Modena
Is it worth betting on Parma?
🔵 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $477.00;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$7.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $799.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$139.00.
Is it worth betting on Modena?
🔴 Modena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Modena
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Modena
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Parma.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Modena.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Modena
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.