Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak Betting tips for December 13 in Serbia Super Liga
| 📅 13/12/2025 17:30 |
 Partizan Belgrade1.14 |
X 6.55 |
FK Napredak  12.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak:
🔮 Partizan Belgrade wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Partizan Belgrade, you can win up to $570.00!
Some important points for the tip for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Partizan Belgrade in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Napredak in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Partizan Belgrade scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak, with Partizan Belgrade as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FK Napredak conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak for the Serbia Super Liga – 13 of December
🏟️ Partizan Belgrade X FK Napredak – Serbia Super Liga
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Partizan Belgrade – Winning probability: 95.59% | Fair line: 1.05
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.59% | Fair line: 27.87
🔴 FK Napredak – Winning probability: 0.82% | Fair line: 121.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Partizan Belgrade
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
Should you bet on Partizan Belgrade?
🔵 Partizan Belgrade: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $134.40;
- And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$94.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $222.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$738.00.
Is it worth betting on FK Napredak?
🔴 FK Napredak: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $115.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$875.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Partizan Belgrade
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Partizan Belgrade and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Partizan Belgrade.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 FK Napredak.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
