Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak Betting tips for November 24 in Serbia Super Liga
| 📅 24/11/2024 15:00 |
 Partizan Belgrade1.28 |
X 5.00 |
FK Napredak  9.31 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak:
🔮 Partizan Belgrade wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Partizan Belgrade, you can win up to $640.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Partizan Belgrade in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. |
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Analysis from Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak for the Serbia Super Liga – 24 of November
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🏟️ Partizan Belgrade X FK Napredak – Serbia Super Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225205 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
Is betting on Partizan Belgrade worth it?
🔵 Partizan Belgrade: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 930 times – profiting $260.40;
- And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Should you bet on FK Napredak?
🔴 FK Napredak: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $83.10;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$906.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Partizan Belgrade
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Partizan Belgrade and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Partizan Belgrade.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Partizan Belgrade.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Partizan Belgrade x FK Napredak
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
