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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Pasaia KE x SD Beasain Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 4
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
PREDICTION SD Beasain Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
SD Beasain SD Beasain
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Pasaia KE x SD Beasain Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:30
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
9.20
X
5.00
SD Beasain SD Beasain
1.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain:

๐Ÿ”ฎ SD Beasain wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Beasain, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pasaia KE in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, SD Beasain scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against SD Beasain, Pasaia KE scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ SD Beasain is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Pasaia KE has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against SD Beasain playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Pasaia KE x SD Beasain for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Pasaia KE X SD Beasain – Spain Tercera Group 4
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Pasaia KE – Winning probability: 0.53% | Fair line: 188.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.32% | Fair line: 15.81
๐Ÿ”ด SD Beasain – Winning probability: 93.14% | Fair line: 1.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Pasaia KE
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pasaia KE and SD Beasain.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain

Is betting on Pasaia KE worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Pasaia KE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $82.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$908.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

Is betting on SD Beasain worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด SD Beasain: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $232.50;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$162.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Pasaia KE x SD Beasain

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Pasaia KE
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Pasaia KE, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Pasaia KE.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pasaia KE x SD Beasain

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves