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Home » Predictions » Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for November 10 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 19h00 Colombia Primera A
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
PREDICTION Patriotas FC wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
ODD: @3.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for November 10 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
19:00
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
3.54
X
3.10
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima:

🔮 Patriotas FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Patriotas FC, you can win up to $1770.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Patriotas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Patriotas FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Deportes Tolima matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima, with Patriotas FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Patriotas FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Patriotas FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportes Tolima playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima:

Analysis from Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima for the Colombia Primera A – 10 of November

🏟️ Patriotas FC X Deportes Tolima – Colombia Primera A
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Patriotas FC – Winning probability: 30.97% | Fair line: 3.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.62% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 39.41% | Fair line: 2.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Patriotas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima

Is it worth betting on Patriotas FC?

🔵 Patriotas FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $787.40
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$97.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on Deportes Tolima worth it?

🔴 Deportes Tolima: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $370.50;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$239.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Patriotas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Patriotas FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Patriotas FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Patriotas FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Patriotas FC x Deportes Tolima

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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