Pau x SC Bastia Betting tips for October 22 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Pau x SC Bastia, Tuesday, 22/10/2024

📅 22/10/2024 17:30

Pau 2.32

X 3.10

SC Bastia 3.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pau x SC Bastia:

🔮 SC Bastia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Bastia, you can win up to $1520.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Pau x SC Bastia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pau in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $317.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Bastia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $430.0. 👉 Pau did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pau scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, SC Bastia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SC Bastia, Pau scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Pau is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Pau x SC Bastia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pau x SC Bastia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Pau x SC Bastia for the France Ligue 2 – 22 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pau and SC Bastia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1206527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pau x SC Bastia

Is it worth betting on Pau?

🔵 Pau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $514.80
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Bastia?

🔴 SC Bastia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $734.40;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$94.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pau x SC Bastia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pau
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pau x SC Bastia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Pau and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Pau.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Pau.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pau x SC Bastia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.