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Home » Predictions » Others » Paysandu x Chapecoense Betting tips for October 9 in Brazil Serie B
Wednesday, 09 October 2024, 21h00 Brazil Serie B
Paysandu Paysandu
PREDICTION Chapecoense Wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
Chapecoense Chapecoense
ODD: @5 Don't miss this prediction!

Paysandu x Chapecoense Betting tips for October 9 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Paysandu x Chapecoense, Wednesday, 9/10/2024
📅 9/10/2024
21:00
Paysandu Paysandu
1.75
X
3.23
Chapecoense Chapecoense
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paysandu x Chapecoense:

🔮 Chapecoense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chapecoense, you can win up to $2500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Paysandu x Chapecoense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chapecoense scored at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Paysandu x Chapecoense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paysandu x Chapecoense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Paysandu x Chapecoense for the Brazil Serie B – 9 of October

🏟️ Paysandu X Chapecoense – Brazil Serie B
📅 9 of October, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Paysandu – Winning probability: 51.52% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.39% | Fair line: 5.75
🔴 Chapecoense – Winning probability: 31.09% | Fair line: 3.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Paysandu x Chapecoense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1197596 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

Should you bet on Paysandu?

🔵 Paysandu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $379.10;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.90.

Is betting on Chapecoense worth it?

🔴 Chapecoense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $1240.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$550.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Paysandu x Chapecoense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Paysandu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Paysandu.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Chapecoense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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