Paysandu x Ituano Betting tips for September 27 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Paysandu x Ituano, Friday, 27/9/2024

📅 27/9/2024 21:30

Paysandu 1.80

X 3.32

Ituano 4.56

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Paysandu x Ituano:

🔮 Paysandu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paysandu, you can win up to $900.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Paysandu x Ituano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Paysandu conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ituano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paysandu x Ituano?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Paysandu x Ituano:

Analysis from Paysandu x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 27 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Paysandu and Ituano.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189218 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Paysandu x Ituano

Is it a good idea to bet on Paysandu?

🔵 Paysandu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
• And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $487.20
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$302.80.

Should you bet on Ituano?

🔴 Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $498.40
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$361.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Paysandu x Ituano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paysandu x Ituano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Paysandu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paysandu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Paysandu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paysandu x Ituano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.