Penafiel x CD Mafra Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Penafiel x CD Mafra, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Penafiel 2.00

X 3.15

CD Mafra 3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Penafiel x CD Mafra:

🔮 Penafiel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penafiel, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Penafiel x CD Mafra: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penafiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mafra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-383.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Mafra, Penafiel scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Penafiel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Mafra conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Penafiel has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against CD Mafra.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Penafiel x CD Mafra?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Penafiel x CD Mafra for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 1 of December

When the best bet on Penafiel x CD Mafra is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penafiel x CD Mafra

Is it worth betting on Penafiel?

🔵 Penafiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $559.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is betting on CD Mafra worth it?

🔴 CD Mafra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $494.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penafiel x CD Mafra

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Penafiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penafiel x CD Mafra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Penafiel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Penafiel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Mafra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penafiel x CD Mafra

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.