Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for December 1 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 1/12/2024 20:00 |
 Penarol1.15 |
X 6.20 |
Atletico Fenix Montevideo  17.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:
🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $575.00!
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Important information for your tip for Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $334.0. |
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Analysis from Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 1 of December
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🏟️ Penarol X Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Atletico Fenix Montevideo.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Should you bet on Penarol?
🔵 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $147.00
- And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $104.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$876.00.
Is betting on Atletico Fenix Montevideo worth it?
🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 17.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Penarol.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Penarol.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Atletico Fenix Montevideo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
