Penarol x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 17 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Defensor Sporting, Sunday, 17/11/2024

📅 17/11/2024 21:30

Penarol 1.44

X 3.85

Defensor Sporting 6.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penarol x Defensor Sporting:

🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Penarol x Defensor Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $192.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-193.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Penarol scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Defensor Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Defensor Sporting, Penarol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Defensor Sporting matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Penarol is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Defensor Sporting has not lost any of them. 👉 Penarol has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Defensor Sporting.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Defensor Sporting?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Penarol x Defensor Sporting:

Analysis from Penarol x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Clausura – 17 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

Is it worth betting on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $347.60
• And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $484.50;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$345.50.

Is betting on Defensor Sporting worth it?

🔴 Defensor Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $220.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Defensor Sporting

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Penarol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Penarol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Defensor Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.