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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for November 9 in Uruguay Clausura
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 22h00 Uruguay Clausura
Penarol Penarol
PREDICTION No tip
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
Don't miss this prediction!

Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for November 9 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo, Saturday, 9/11/2024
πŸ“… 9/11/2024
22:00
Penarol Penarol
1.55
X
3.76
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
5.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo

The main points for the tip for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $48.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Liverpool Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Penarol scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Penarol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool Montevideo.
πŸ‘‰ Penarol is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 9 of November

🏟️ Penarol X Liverpool Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura
πŸ“… 9 of November, 2024 – 22:00
πŸ”΅ Penarol – Winning probability: 71.07% | Fair line: 1.41
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.39% | Fair line: 5.75
πŸ”΄ Liverpool Montevideo – Winning probability: 11.54% | Fair line: 8.67
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218775 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo

Is betting on Penarol worth it?

πŸ”΅ Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $390.50
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$100.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $469.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$360.80.

Is betting on Liverpool Montevideo worth it?

πŸ”΄ Liverpool Montevideo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $534.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$346.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Penarol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Penarol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Liverpool Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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