Penarol x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for April 12 in Uruguay Apertura
| 📅 12/4/2025 21:30 |
 Penarol1.36 |
X 4.53 |
Miramar Misiones  8.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Penarol x Miramar Misiones:
🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $680.00!
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The main points for the tip for Penarol x Miramar Misiones: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-388.0. |
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Analysis from Penarol x Miramar Misiones for the Uruguay Apertura – 12 of April
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🏟️ Penarol X Miramar Misiones – Uruguay Apertura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Penarol x Miramar Misiones right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Miramar Misiones
Is betting on Penarol worth it?
🔵 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $309.60
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$169.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $388.30;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$501.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on Miramar Misiones?
🔴 Miramar Misiones: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $210.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$760.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Miramar Misiones
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Miramar Misiones
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Penarol. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Miramar Misiones
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
